Combat Edge Intelligence

Guram Kutateladze vs Mateusz Gamrot

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-0Record26-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Allstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Mateusz Gamrot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Guram Kutateladze carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Guram KutateladzeNow 1647
If they win+23→ 1670
If they lose-9→ 1638
Mateusz GamrotNow 1810
If they win+7→ 1817
If they lose-17→ 1793

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
46%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
57%
Strike defense
60%
0.77
Takedown avg.
5.22
20%
Takedown accuracy
9%
79%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Guram KutateladzeMateusz Gamrot
165017001750180018502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
1 (8%)
Submission
6 (23%)
5 (38%)
Decision
12 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Mateusz Gamrot92%
Guram Kutateladze 8%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Mateusz Gamrot a 92% favorite over Guram Kutateladze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Mateusz Gamrot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1810 to 1647, a 163-point edge.

Guram Kutateladze finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.

Guram Kutateladze carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.