Gustavo Lopez vs Liam Macfadyen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-1Record6-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeam613 Fight Factory· 1600 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
If they win+24→ 1655
If they lose-24→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo LopezLiam Macfadyen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo Lopez54%
Liam Macfadyen 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Lopez a 54% favorite over Liam Macfadyen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.
Liam Macfadyen enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Gustavo Lopez finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Liam Macfadyen 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.