Gustavo Sousa vs Paddy McCorry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
-Reach-
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1644 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFight Academy Ireland· 1589 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Paddy McCorry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Gustavo Sousa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1623
If they lose-20→ 1575
If they win+20→ 1673
If they lose-28→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Gustavo SousaPaddy McCorry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paddy McCorry63%
Gustavo Sousa 37%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Paddy McCorry a 63% favorite over Gustavo Sousa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Paddy McCorry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1595, a 58-point edge.
Paddy McCorry enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Gustavo Sousa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paddy McCorry 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.