Combat Edge Intelligence

Gvido Šusts vs Roggers Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record15-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
TBDHeight6'4"
-Reach79"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
TBDTeamAlcateia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gvido ŠustsNow 1531
If they win+23→ 1554
If they lose-25→ 1506
Roggers SouzaNow 1523
If they win+16→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gvido ŠustsRoggers Souza
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Gvido Šusts53%
Roggers Souza 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Gvido Šusts a 53% favorite over Roggers Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1531 vs 1523), separated by just 8 points.

Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roggers Souza 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.