Hafeni Nafuka vs Marco Elpidio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record25-14-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hafeni NafukaMarco Elpidio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hafeni Nafuka57%
Marco Elpidio 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hafeni Nafuka a 57% favorite over Marco Elpidio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1596), separated by just 3 points.
Hafeni Nafuka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hafeni Nafuka finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marco Elpidio 44%.
Hafeni Nafuka and Marco Elpidio share 1 common opponent: Arijan Topallaj.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.