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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hafeni Nafuka vs Tomáš Mudroch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hafeni Nafuka
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Hafeni Nafuka

“The Namibian Nightmare”

12-6-0LightweightOKMMA

1599Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Tomáš Mudroch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Hafeni Nafuka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hafeni NafukaNow 1599
If they win+18→ 1617
If they lose-14→ 1585
Tomáš MudrochNow 1652
If they win+14→ 1666
If they lose-18→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Hafeni NafukaTomáš Mudroch
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
8 (67%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (17%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomáš Mudroch55%
Hafeni Nafuka 45%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Mudroch a 55% favorite over Hafeni Nafuka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Tomáš Mudroch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1599, a 53-point edge.

Hafeni Nafuka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hafeni Nafuka finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Mudroch 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.