Hafeni Nafuka vs Tomáš Mudroch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Tomáš Mudroch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Hafeni Nafuka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1633
If they lose-15→ 1601
If they win+15→ 1657
If they lose-17→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hafeni NafukaTomáš Mudroch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hafeni Nafuka and Tomáš Mudroch within a point of even.
Tomáš Mudroch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1616, a 26-point edge.
Hafeni Nafuka finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Mudroch 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.