Hafeni Nafuka vs Tomáš Mudroch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record9-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight FusionTeamFighting Club Ostrava
What's at stake
Tomáš Mudroch is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Hafeni Nafuka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1629
If they lose-15→ 1597
If they win+15→ 1651
If they lose-17→ 1619
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hafeni NafukaTomáš Mudroch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tomáš Mudroch68%
Hafeni Nafuka 32%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Mudroch a 68% favorite over Hafeni Nafuka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Tomáš Mudroch holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1612, a 24-point edge.
Hafeni Nafuka finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Mudroch 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.