Harda Karim vs Leo Bonin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record5-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
71.5"Reach69.7"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
Leo Bonin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Harda Karim carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1560
If they lose-20→ 1512
If they win+20→ 1609
If they lose-28→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Harda KarimLeo Bonin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leo Bonin56%
Harda Karim 44%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Leo Bonin a 56% favorite over Harda Karim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Leo Bonin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1532, a 57-point edge.
Harda Karim enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leo Bonin enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Harda Karim finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Leo Bonin 80%.
Harda Karim carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.