Combat Edge Intelligence

Harun Kurt vs Roman Paulus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Harun Kurt
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Harun Kurt

“The Wolf”

6-1-0BantamweightOKMMA

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record11-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
NFT Gym KrefeldTeamSpartakus Fight Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Harun KurtNow 1604
If they win+23→ 1627
If they lose-25→ 1579
Roman PaulusNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Harun KurtRoman Paulus
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
1 (17%)
Submission
3 (27%)
3 (50%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Paulus61%
Harun Kurt 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Paulus a 61% favorite over Harun Kurt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Harun Kurt's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1594), separated by just 10 points.

Roman Paulus enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Harun Kurt finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Roman Paulus 36%.

Harun Kurt and Roman Paulus share 1 common opponent: Nathan Haywood.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
Nathan Haywood
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2024