Harun Kurt vs Roman Paulus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record11-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
NFT Gym KrefeldTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1645 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Harun Kurt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Roman Paulus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1638
If they lose-25→ 1590
If they win+17→ 1616
If they lose-15→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Harun KurtRoman Paulus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Paulus53%
Harun Kurt 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Paulus a 53% favorite over Harun Kurt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Harun Kurt's way (48%).
Harun Kurt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1599, a 16-point edge.
Roman Paulus enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Harun Kurt finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Roman Paulus 36%.
Harun Kurt and Roman Paulus share 1 common opponent: Nathan Haywood.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.