Combat Edge Intelligence

Herbert Burns vs Jack Jenkins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record14-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
73"Reach 68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAbsolute Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

Jack Jenkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Herbert Burns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Herbert BurnsNow 1607
If they win+19→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1594
Jack JenkinsNow 1670
If they win+13→ 1683
If they lose-19→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.86
Sig. strikes / min
4.50
37%
Strike accuracy
61%
5.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
42%
Strike defense
59%
2.94
Takedown avg.
1.78
35%
Takedown accuracy
64%
67%
Takedown defense
68%
1.84
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Herbert BurnsJack Jenkins
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
8 (73%)
Submission
3 (21%)
2 (18%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Jack Jenkins73%
Herbert Burns 27%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Jack Jenkins a 73% favorite over Herbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Jack Jenkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1607, a 63-point edge.

Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Herbert Burns finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Jack Jenkins 64%.

Herbert Burns carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.