Herbert Burns vs Jack Jenkins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
73"Reach 68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAbsolute Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
Jack Jenkins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Herbert Burns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1633
If they lose-14→ 1601
If they win+14→ 1672
If they lose-18→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Herbert BurnsJack Jenkins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Jenkins58%
Herbert Burns 42%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Jenkins a 58% favorite over Herbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jack Jenkins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1615, a 43-point edge.
Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Herbert Burns finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Jack Jenkins 64%.
Herbert Burns carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.