Herbert Burns vs Nate Landwehr
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record18-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMMA Masters
What's at stake
Nate Landwehr is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Herbert Burns carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1633
If they lose-14→ 1601
If they win+14→ 1662
If they lose-18→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Herbert BurnsNate Landwehr
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Landwehr72%
Herbert Burns 28%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Landwehr a 72% favorite over Herbert Burns in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Nate Landwehr holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1615, a 33-point edge.
Herbert Burns enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Herbert Burns finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Nate Landwehr 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.