Herdem Alacabek vs Luke Fernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record6-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Black HouseTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1666 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Herdem AlacabekLuke Fernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Fernandez58%
Herdem Alacabek 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 58% favorite over Herdem Alacabek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Herdem Alacabek's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1613), separated by just 3 points.
Herdem Alacabek finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luke Fernandez 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.