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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record9-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'9"
78"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
La Bonne Ecole· 1566 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFreedom Fighters

What's at stake

Luis Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Hugo Guillon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hugo GuillonNow 1611
If they win+30→ 1641
If they lose-18→ 1593
Luis HernandezNow 1706
If they win+18→ 1724
If they lose-30→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
10.05
Not available
Strike accuracy
57%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.45
Not available
Strike defense
42%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.31
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
100%
Not available
Submission avg.
6.46

Trajectory

Hugo GuillonLuis Hernandez
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
2 (29%)
Submission
6 (67%)
1 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Hernandez67%
Hugo Guillon 33%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Hernandez a 67% favorite over Hugo Guillon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Luis Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1611, a 95-point edge.

Luis Hernandez enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Hugo Guillon finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Luis Hernandez 100%.

Hugo Guillon carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.