Hugo Guillon vs Luis Hernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record7-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'10"
-Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Luis Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Hugo Guillon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1662
If they lose-23→ 1614
If they win+23→ 1680
If they lose-25→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hugo GuillonLuis Hernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hugo Guillon and Luis Hernandez within a point of even.
Luis Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1637, a 20-point edge.
Hugo Guillon enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Luis Hernandez enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Hugo Guillon finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Luis Hernandez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.