CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 6

Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon

EventCONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 6
DateSep 15, 2026
DivisionMiddleweight
StatusScheduled
VenueMeta APEX
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, September 15, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT)
Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom
Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe
Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Wed 9:00 AM

Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon is a scheduled Middleweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 6. Luis Hernandez enters with a 7-0-0 record and Hugo Guillon enters with a 7-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon quick answers

When is Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon?

Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon is listed for CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 6 on Sep 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST.

What event is Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon on?

Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon is listed on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 6.

What are the records for Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon?

Luis Hernandez enters with a 7-0-0 record and Hugo Guillon enters with a 7-1-0 record.

What division is Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon?

Luis Hernandez vs Hugo Guillon is listed as a Middleweight fight.

Luis HernandezThe Stache |7-0-0Luis Hernandez vs Hugo GuillonHugo Guillon7-1-0
usLuis HernandezThe Stache7-0-0Luis Hernandezus

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
7-0-0Record7-1-0
30Age29
5'10"Height6'4"
72"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight
frHugo Guillon7-1-0frHugo Guillon
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Luis Hernandez owns a 20-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Luis Hernandez and Hugo Guillon across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Luis HernandezHugo Guillon
1600165020242025

Recent form

Luis HernandezW W W W W · +101 Elo last 5
WWWWW
Hugo GuillonW W W W W · +110 Elo last 5
WWWWW

Elo edge

Luis Hernandez1657+15 last move
Hugo Guillon1637+19 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
79%Luis Hernandez21%Hugo Guillon
Model favoriteLuis Hernandez
Elo baseline53% for Luis Hernandez
Matchup adjustment+26 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Luis Hernandez leads the full model at 79%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 26 points.

Current Elo ratings1657 · 1637Luis Hernandez leads by 20 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1495 · 1500Hugo Guillon faced the stronger recent schedule (7 vs 8 sampled fights).
Elo record depth7 · 8 fightsHugo Guillon has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Luis HernandezvsHugo Guillon

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Luis Hernandezsubmission leads 57% of wins
Hugo GuillonKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Luis HernandezHugo Guillon
0Sig. strikes landed per min0
UFC middleweight average : 3.78
0Sig. strike accuracy0
UFC middleweight average : 48%
0Sig. strikes absorbed per min0
UFC middleweight average : 3.81
0Sig. strike defense0
UFC middleweight average : 52%
0Takedown average0
UFC middleweight average : 1.70
0Takedown accuracy0
UFC middleweight average : 34%
0Takedown defense0
UFC middleweight average : 58%
0Submission average0
UFC middleweight average : 0.63
3Wins by knockout4
4Wins by submission2
0Wins by decision1
0Losses by knockout1
0Losses by submission0
0Losses by decision0

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