Combat Edge Intelligence

Ian Heinisch vs Mansur Abdul-Malik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ian Heinisch
us

Ian Heinisch

“The Hurricane”

14-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1685Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record9-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Genesis MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ian HeinischNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Mansur Abdul-MalikNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
59%
Strike defense
46%
1.02
Takedown avg.
1.65
17%
Takedown accuracy
0%
60%
Takedown defense
83%
0.68
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Ian HeinischMansur Abdul-Malik
160016501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
2 (14%)
Submission
2 (22%)
7 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Abdul-Malik72%
Ian Heinisch 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Abdul-Malik a 72% favorite over Ian Heinisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1688), separated by just 3 points.

Ian Heinisch enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mansur Abdul-Malik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ian Heinisch finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.