Combat Edge Intelligence

Ian Heinisch vs Marvin Vettori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ian Heinisch
us

Ian Heinisch

“The Hurricane”

14-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1685Good
Marvin Vettori
it

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-10-1MiddleweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Genesis MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ian HeinischNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Marvin VettoriNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
4.74
50%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.55
59%
Strike defense
56%
1.02
Takedown avg.
1.41
17%
Takedown accuracy
44%
60%
Takedown defense
69%
0.68
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Ian HeinischMarvin Vettori
170017502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
2 (14%)
Submission
9 (47%)
7 (50%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Marvin Vettori66%
Ian Heinisch 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 66% favorite over Ian Heinisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1688), separated by just 3 points.

Ian Heinisch enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ian Heinisch finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.