Ian Machado Garry vs Yaroslav Amosov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record30-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
74" Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamGermes Kyiv
What's at stake
Yaroslav Amosov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ian Machado Garry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1832
If they lose-15→ 1800
If they win+15→ 1845
If they lose-17→ 1813
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1775 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ian Machado GarryYaroslav Amosov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Machado Garry57%
Yaroslav Amosov 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Machado Garry a 57% favorite over Yaroslav Amosov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yaroslav Amosov's way (48%).
Yaroslav Amosov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1815, a 15-point edge.
Yaroslav Amosov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ian Machado Garry finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Yaroslav Amosov 73%.
Ian Machado Garry and Yaroslav Amosov share 1 common opponent: Neil Magny.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.