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Combat Edge Intelligence

Iasmin Lucindo vs Nicolle Caliari

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record9-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
66″Reach 62"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Fight HouseTeamThai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Iasmin Lucindo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nicolle Caliari carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Iasmin LucindoNow 1713
If they win+11→ 1724
If they lose-21→ 1692
Nicolle CaliariNow 1595
If they win+21→ 1616
If they lose-11→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
2.88
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.59
62%
Strike defense
52%
2.28
Takedown avg.
3.38
0%
Takedown accuracy
9%
69%
Takedown defense
50%
0.15
Submission avg.
1.01

Trajectory

Iasmin LucindoNicolle Caliari
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
3 (17%)
Submission
4 (44%)
7 (39%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Iasmin Lucindo78%
Nicolle Caliari 22%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Iasmin Lucindo a 78% favorite over Nicolle Caliari in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Iasmin Lucindo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1595, a 118-point edge.

Iasmin Lucindo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.

Iasmin Lucindo carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.