Combat Edge Intelligence

Ihor Potieria vs Rodolfo Bellato

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-8-0Record13-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Standard ProTeamKnockout Squad

What's at stake

Rodolfo Bellato is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ihor Potieria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ihor PotieriaNow 1639
If they win+13→ 1652
If they lose-11→ 1628
Rodolfo BellatoNow 1678
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-18→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
5.37
50%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.86
51%
Strike defense
47%
0.73
Takedown avg.
1.38
0%
Takedown accuracy
35%
67%
Takedown defense
94%
0
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Ihor PotieriaRodolfo Bellato
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (43%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
7 (33%)
Submission
4 (31%)
5 (24%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodolfo Bellato64%
Ihor Potieria 36%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodolfo Bellato a 64% favorite over Ihor Potieria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Rodolfo Bellato holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1639, a 39-point edge.

Ihor Potieria enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ihor Potieria finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Rodolfo Bellato 92%.

Rodolfo Bellato carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.