Ilia Topuria vs Mateusz Gamrot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record26-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Climent Club· 1711 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Ilia Topuria is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mateusz Gamrot carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1844
If they lose-17→ 1812
If they win+13→ 1827
If they lose-11→ 1803
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ilia TopuriaMateusz Gamrot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilia Topuria62%
Mateusz Gamrot 38%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilia Topuria a 62% favorite over Mateusz Gamrot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Ilia Topuria holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1829 to 1814, a 15-point edge.
Ilia Topuria finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.
Ilia Topuria and Mateusz Gamrot share 1 common opponent: Charles Oliveira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.