Ilia Topuria vs Max Holloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record28-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Climent Club· 1711 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamGracie Technics
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1845
If they lose-16→ 1813
If they win+12→ 1842
If they lose-12→ 1818
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1758 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ilia TopuriaMax Holloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ilia Topuria and Max Holloway within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1829 vs 1830), separated by just 1 points.
Ilia Topuria finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.
Ilia Topuria and Max Holloway share 3 common opponents: Justin Gaethje, Charles Oliveira and Alexander Volkanovski.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.