Ilia Topuria vs Youssef Zalal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-1-0Record18-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Climent ClubTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Ilia Topuria is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Youssef Zalal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1841
If they lose-20→ 1809
If they win+15→ 1750
If they lose-9→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1757 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ilia TopuriaYoussef Zalal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilia Topuria68%
Youssef Zalal 32%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilia Topuria a 68% favorite over Youssef Zalal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Ilia Topuria holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1829 to 1735, a 94-point edge.
Ilia Topuria finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Youssef Zalal 78%.
Ilia Topuria and Youssef Zalal share 1 common opponent: Josh Emmett.
Youssef Zalal carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.