Ion Cutelaba vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record18-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach 77"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Timoshkov Sport ClubTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Jared Cannonier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ion Cutelaba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1657
If they lose-10→ 1633
If they win+14→ 1707
If they lose-18→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1763 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ion CutelabaJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Cannonier61%
Ion Cutelaba 39%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 61% favorite over Ion Cutelaba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jared Cannonier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1643, a 50-point edge.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Jared Cannonier carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.