Ion Cutelaba vs Magomed Ankalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record21-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Timoshkov Sport ClubTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Ion Cutelaba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1659
If they lose-6→ 1635
If they win+7→ 1855
If they lose-25→ 1823
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ion CutelabaMagomed Ankalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev90%
Ion Cutelaba 10%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 90% favorite over Ion Cutelaba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1641, a 207-point edge.
Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.
Ion Cutelaba and Magomed Ankalaev share 1 common opponent: Johnny Walker.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.