Ion Cutelaba vs Magomed Tuchalov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record7-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
75"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Magomed Tuchalov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ion Cutelaba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1656
If they lose-11→ 1632
If they win+22→ 1688
If they lose-26→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ion CutelabaMagomed Tuchalov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ion Cutelaba53%
Magomed Tuchalov 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Ion Cutelaba a 53% favorite over Magomed Tuchalov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Tuchalov's way (47%).
Magomed Tuchalov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1643, a 23-point edge.
Magomed Tuchalov enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Tuchalov 86%.
Magomed Tuchalov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.