Ion Cutelaba vs Misha Cirkunov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record15-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Timoshkov Sport ClubTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Misha Cirkunov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ion Cutelaba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1654
If they lose-11→ 1630
If they win+15→ 1685
If they lose-17→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ion CutelabaMisha Cirkunov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ion Cutelaba63%
Misha Cirkunov 37%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Ion Cutelaba a 63% favorite over Misha Cirkunov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Misha Cirkunov's way (46%).
Misha Cirkunov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1641, a 29-point edge.
Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Misha Cirkunov 87%.
Ion Cutelaba and Misha Cirkunov share 2 common opponents: Johnny Walker and Ryan Spann.
Misha Cirkunov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.