Ion Cutelaba vs Modestas Bukauskas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record21-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ion Cutelaba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1658
If they lose-9→ 1634
If they win+9→ 1733
If they lose-15→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ion CutelabaModestas Bukauskas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas62%
Ion Cutelaba 38%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 62% favorite over Ion Cutelaba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1643, a 81-point edge.
Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Modestas Bukauskas 71%.
Ion Cutelaba and Modestas Bukauskas share 1 common opponent: Oumar Sy.
Modestas Bukauskas carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.