Ion Cutelaba vs Modestas Bukauskas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-12-1Record20-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Timoshkov Sport ClubTeamGintas Combat
What's at stake
Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ion Cutelaba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1655
If they lose-10→ 1631
If they win+10→ 1717
If they lose-14→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ion CutelabaModestas Bukauskas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas64%
Ion Cutelaba 36%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 64% favorite over Ion Cutelaba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1641, a 66-point edge.
Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Modestas Bukauskas 70%.
Modestas Bukauskas carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.