Combat Edge Intelligence

Ion Cutelaba vs Navajo Stirling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ion Cutelaba
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Ion Cutelaba

“The Hulk”

20-12-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1641Solid

Tale of the tape

20-12-1Record11-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
75"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Timoshkov Sport ClubTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

Navajo Stirling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ion Cutelaba carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ion CutelabaNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-8→ 1633
Navajo StirlingNow 1754
If they win+11→ 1765
If they lose-21→ 1733

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
6.24
44%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
46%
Strike defense
58%
4.02
Takedown avg.
0.86
7%
Takedown accuracy
0%
76%
Takedown defense
71%
0.27
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ion CutelabaNavajo Stirling
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (65%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
4 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (15%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Navajo Stirling84%
Ion Cutelaba 16%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 84% favorite over Ion Cutelaba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Navajo Stirling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1641, a 113-point edge.

Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Ion Cutelaba finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Navajo Stirling 64%.

Ion Cutelaba and Navajo Stirling share 1 common opponent: Ivan Erslan.

Navajo Stirling carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (split) · 2024
Ivan Erslan
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025