Ismael Bonfim vs Vinc Pichel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1677
If they lose-17→ 1645
If they win+17→ 1668
If they lose-15→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ismael BonfimVinc Pichel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismael Bonfim64%
Vinc Pichel 36%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismael Bonfim a 64% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1651), separated by just 11 points.
Ismael Bonfim enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ismael Bonfim finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.