Ismael Bonfim vs Vinc Pichel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cerrado MMATeamFactory X
What's at stake
Ismael Bonfim is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Vinc Pichel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1696
If they lose-17→ 1664
If they win+17→ 1667
If they lose-15→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ismael BonfimVinc Pichel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ismael Bonfim71%
Vinc Pichel 29%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Ismael Bonfim a 71% favorite over Vinc Pichel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Ismael Bonfim holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1650, a 31-point edge.
Ismael Bonfim enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vinc Pichel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ismael Bonfim finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Vinc Pichel 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.