Israel Adesanya vs Nassourdine Imavov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record17-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'3"
80"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
City KickboxingTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
Nassourdine Imavov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Israel Adesanya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1774
If they lose-11→ 1750
If they win+15→ 1803
If they lose-17→ 1771
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1738 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Israel AdesanyaNassourdine Imavov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nassourdine Imavov63%
Israel Adesanya 37%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Nassourdine Imavov a 63% favorite over Israel Adesanya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Nassourdine Imavov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1761, a 27-point edge.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Israel Adesanya finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nassourdine Imavov 65%.
Israel Adesanya and Nassourdine Imavov share 2 common opponents: Sean Strickland and Jared Cannonier.
Israel Adesanya carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.