Israel Adesanya vs Sean Strickland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-6-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
80"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
City KickboxingTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Sean Strickland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Israel Adesanya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1775
If they lose-10→ 1751
If they win+10→ 1833
If they lose-14→ 1809
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Israel AdesanyaSean Strickland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Strickland71%
Israel Adesanya 29%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Strickland a 71% favorite over Israel Adesanya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Sean Strickland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1761, a 62-point edge.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Israel Adesanya finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.
Israel Adesanya and Sean Strickland share 3 common opponents: Nassourdine Imavov, Dricus Du Plessis and Jared Cannonier.
Israel Adesanya carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.