Istela Nunes vs Jinh Yu Frey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record11-10-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'2"
66"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team NunesTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Jinh Yu Frey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Istela Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1518
If they lose-15→ 1486
If they win+15→ 1534
If they lose-17→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Istela NunesJinh Yu Frey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jinh Yu Frey53%
Istela Nunes 47%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Jinh Yu Frey a 53% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Jinh Yu Frey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1519 to 1501, a 18-point edge.
Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Jinh Yu Frey 27%.
Istela Nunes and Jinh Yu Frey share 2 common opponents: Loma Lookboonmee and Victoria Dudakova.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.