Istela Nunes vs Sam Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-6-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team NunesTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Sam Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Istela Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1522
If they lose-11→ 1490
If they win+11→ 1616
If they lose-21→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Istela NunesSam Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Hughes80%
Istela Nunes 20%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Hughes a 80% favorite over Istela Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Sam Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1605 to 1501, a 104-point edge.
Istela Nunes enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Istela Nunes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.
Istela Nunes and Sam Hughes share 2 common opponents: Victoria Dudakova and Yazmin Jauregui.
Istela Nunes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.