Ivan Erslan vs Marcin Prachnio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record17-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
72"Reach74"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team Zagreb· 1618 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTatsujin Dojo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ErslanMarcin Prachnio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Prachnio53%
Ivan Erslan 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Prachnio a 53% favorite over Ivan Erslan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Prachnio 71%.
Ivan Erslan and Marcin Prachnio share 1 common opponent: Jimmy Crute.
Marcin Prachnio carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.