Ivan Erslan vs Navajo Stirling
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record11-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
72"Reach79"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top Team ZagrebTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Navajo Stirling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ivan Erslan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1627
If they lose-9→ 1595
If they win+9→ 1763
If they lose-23→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ErslanNavajo Stirling
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Navajo Stirling92%
Ivan Erslan 8%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 92% favorite over Ivan Erslan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Navajo Stirling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1604, a 150-point edge.
Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Navajo Stirling 64%.
Ivan Erslan and Navajo Stirling share 2 common opponents: Tuco Tokkos and Ion Cutelaba.
Navajo Stirling carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.