Ivan Erslan vs Wildemar Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record14-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
72"Reach-
206 lbsWeight201 lbs
American Top Team Zagreb· 1618 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMalhado Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ivan ErslanWildemar Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Erslan66%
Wildemar Santos 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Erslan a 66% favorite over Wildemar Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wildemar Santos's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1602), separated by just 4 points.
Ivan Erslan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Wildemar Santos 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.