Jacinta Austin vs Koyuru Tanoue
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record11-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'1"
65"Reach-
116 lbsWeight114 lbs
What's at stake
Jacinta Austin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Koyuru Tanoue carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-17→ 1614
If they win+17→ 1621
If they lose-15→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1488 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jacinta AustinKoyuru Tanoue
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Koyuru Tanoue52%
Jacinta Austin 48%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Koyuru Tanoue a 52% favorite over Jacinta Austin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jacinta Austin's way (46%).
Jacinta Austin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1604, a 27-point edge.
Jacinta Austin enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jacinta Austin finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Koyuru Tanoue 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.