Jack Hermansson vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Jack Hermansson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marvin Vettori carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1732
If they lose-13→ 1708
If they win+13→ 1701
If they lose-11→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jack HermanssonMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Hermansson54%
Marvin Vettori 46%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Hermansson a 54% favorite over Marvin Vettori in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Jack Hermansson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1688, a 33-point edge.
Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Jack Hermansson and Marvin Vettori share 2 common opponents: Roman Dolidze and Jared Cannonier.
Jack Hermansson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.