Combat Edge Intelligence

Jack Hermansson vs Roman Dolidze

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roman Dolidze
ge

Roman Dolidze

“The Caucasian”

15-5-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1725Good

Tale of the tape

24-10-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach 76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Frontline AcademyTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jack HermanssonNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Roman DolidzeNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.19
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
57%
Strike defense
48%
1.50
Takedown avg.
1.16
30%
Takedown accuracy
28%
81%
Takedown defense
32%
0.37
Submission avg.
0.74

Trajectory

Jack HermanssonRoman Dolidze
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
6 (25%)
Submission
3 (20%)
7 (29%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Dolidze53%
Jack Hermansson 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Dolidze a 53% favorite over Jack Hermansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1725), separated by just 4 points.

Jack Hermansson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Roman Dolidze enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jack Hermansson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Roman Dolidze 73%.

Jack Hermansson and Roman Dolidze share 1 common opponent: Marvin Vettori.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Marvin Vettori
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023