Jackson McVey vs Robert Valentin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Jackson McVey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Robert Valentin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1666
If they lose-18→ 1634
If they win+18→ 1627
If they lose-14→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jackson McVeyRobert Valentin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jackson McVey53%
Robert Valentin 47%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 53% favorite over Robert Valentin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jackson McVey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1609, a 43-point edge.
Jackson McVey enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.