Combat Edge Intelligence

Jackson McVey vs Robert Valentin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

Jackson McVey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Robert Valentin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jackson McVeyNow 1620
If they win+22→ 1642
If they lose-26→ 1594
Robert ValentinNow 1592
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-15→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.51
Sig. strikes / min
1.30
69%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
24%
Strike defense
33%
0
Takedown avg.
0.59
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
55%
1.20
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Jackson McVeyRobert Valentin
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
4 (57%)
Submission
7 (64%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jackson McVey and Robert Valentin within a point of even.

Jackson McVey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1592, a 28-point edge.

Jackson McVey finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.