Jai Herbert vs Matheus Camilo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
77"Reach 69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Renegade Jiu JitsuTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Jai Herbert is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Matheus Camilo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1690
If they lose-17→ 1658
If they win+17→ 1675
If they lose-15→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jai HerbertMatheus Camilo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jai Herbert71%
Matheus Camilo 29%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Jai Herbert a 71% favorite over Matheus Camilo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Jai Herbert holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1658, a 17-point edge.
Matheus Camilo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jai Herbert finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Camilo 64%.
Jai Herbert carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.