Jai Herbert vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"Reach72″
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Renegade Jiu JitsuTeamFirst Fight Center
What's at stake
Renato Moicano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jai Herbert carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1693
If they lose-13→ 1661
If they win+10→ 1753
If they lose-14→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jai HerbertRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renato Moicano63%
Jai Herbert 37%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 63% favorite over Jai Herbert in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Renato Moicano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1674, a 69-point edge.
Jai Herbert finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Jai Herbert carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.