Jai Herbert vs Robert Watley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-1Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
77"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jai HerbertRobert Watley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jai Herbert61%
Robert Watley 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jai Herbert a 61% favorite over Robert Watley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1690), separated by just 0 points.
Jai Herbert enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Robert Watley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jai Herbert finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Robert Watley 63%.
Jai Herbert carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.