Jake Collier vs Ryan Firinaiu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record2-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
78"Reach-
257 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
If they win+23→ 1580
If they lose-25→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake CollierRyan Firinaiu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Firinaiu57%
Jake Collier 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Firinaiu a 57% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1557), separated by just 8 points.
Ryan Firinaiu enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jake Collier finishes 71% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.