Combat Edge Intelligence

Jake McHugh vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamLigorio Top Team

What's at stake

Jake McHugh is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Lorenzo de Nigris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jake McHughNow 1546
If they win+21→ 1567
If they lose-27→ 1519
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+27→ 1528
If they lose-21→ 1480

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jake McHughLorenzo de Nigris
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake McHugh55%
Lorenzo de Nigris 45%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake McHugh a 55% favorite over Lorenzo de Nigris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jake McHugh holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1546 to 1501, a 45-point edge.

Jake McHugh finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.