Jake Woodley vs Yousri Belgaroui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'5"
-Reach79"
186 lbsWeight190 lbs
Team Bodyshop· 1661 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1626 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jake WoodleyYousri Belgaroui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yousri Belgaroui55%
Jake Woodley 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yousri Belgaroui a 55% favorite over Jake Woodley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jake Woodley's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1666 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.
Jake Woodley enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Yousri Belgaroui enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Jake Woodley finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Yousri Belgaroui 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.