Combat Edge Intelligence

Jakub Tichota vs Nilton Gavião

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record17-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight151 lbs
Reinders MMA· 1602 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSombra Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jakub TichotaNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517
Nilton GaviãoNow 1534
If they win+16→ 1550
If they lose-16→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jakub TichotaNilton Gavião
155020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
1 (17%)
Submission
4 (24%)
2 (33%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Jakub Tichota61%
Nilton Gavião 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jakub Tichota a 61% favorite over Nilton Gavião in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nilton Gavião's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1534), separated by just 1 points.

Nilton Gavião enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jakub Tichota finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nilton Gavião 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.