Jalin Turner vs Mateusz Gamrot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record26-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height5'10"
77"Reach70"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Adrenaline Combat SportsTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Mateusz Gamrot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jalin Turner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-8→ 1695
If they win+8→ 1818
If they lose-16→ 1794
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1752 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jalin TurnerMateusz Gamrot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jalin Turner59%
Mateusz Gamrot 41%Elo baseline: 35%
The Combat Edge model makes Jalin Turner a 59% favorite over Mateusz Gamrot in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mateusz Gamrot's way (35%).
Mateusz Gamrot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1810 to 1703, a 107-point edge.
Jalin Turner enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jalin Turner finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Gamrot 54%.
Jalin Turner and Mateusz Gamrot share 1 common opponent: Dan Hooker.
Jalin Turner carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.