Mateusz Gamrot vs Jalin Turner

Mar 5, 2023 · ESPN+

DateMar 5, 2023

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, March 5, 2023 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Mateusz GamrotGamer |26-5-0Mateusz Gamrot vs Jalin TurnerJalin TurnerThe Tarantula |16-9-0

Mateusz GamrotGamer26-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

26-5-0Record16-9-0

35Age31

5'10"Height6'3"

70"Reach77"

155 lbsWeight156 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Jalin TurnerThe Tarantula16-9-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mateusz Gamrot owns a 111-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 2 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Mateusz Gamrot and Jalin Turner across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Mateusz GamrotJalin Turner

Recent form

Mateusz GamrotL W L W L · -26 Elo last 5

LWLWL

Jalin TurnerW W L L W · +18 Elo last 5

WWLLW

Elo edge

Mateusz Gamrot1814-17 last move

Jalin Turner1703+14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Mateusz Gamrot#7 of 422 active Lightweight fighters · 1814 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Arman Tsarukyan (rated 1774 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Beneil Dariush (rated 1789 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -26 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #6 Charles Oliveira, 2 ahead of #8 Dustin Poirier.

Jalin Turner#68 of 422 active Lightweight fighters · 1703 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Edson Barboza (rated 1697 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Renato Moicano (rated 1716 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +18 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #67 Jay Jay Wilson, 0 ahead of #69 Makkasharip Zaynukov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Mateusz GamrotNow 1814 · #7 Lightweight

Wins by decision+8→ 1822

Loses by decision-16→ 1798

Jalin TurnerNow 1703 · #68 Lightweight

Wins by decision+16→ 1719

Loses by decision-8→ 1695

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Mateusz GamrotvsJalin Turner

Takedown accuracy

9%vs0%

Takedown average

5.22vs0.75

Submission average

0.19vs1.06

Sig. strikes landed per min

3.21vs5.79

Finishing profile

Mateusz Gamrotdecision leads 46% of wins

Jalin TurnerKO/TKO leads 75% of wins

Common opponents

Dan Hooker Mateusz Gamrot: loss · Decision (Split) · Aug 17, 2024 Jalin Turner: loss · Decision (Split) · Jul 8, 2023

Dan Hooker Mateusz Gamrot: loss · Decision (Split) · Aug 17, 2024 Jalin Turner: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Mar 4, 2023

Tale of the tape

Mateusz GamrotJalin Turner

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.21Sig. strikes landed per min5.79

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

52Sig. strike accuracy49

UFC lightweight average : 46%

2.81Sig. strikes absorbed per min4.54

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

60Sig. strike defense42

UFC lightweight average : 53%

5.22Takedown average0.75

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

9Takedown accuracy0

UFC lightweight average : 28%

83Takedown defense75

UFC lightweight average : 59%

0.19Submission average1.06

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

8Wins by knockout12

6Wins by submission4

12Wins by decision0

0Losses by knockout4

2Losses by submission1

3Losses by decision4

Mateusz Gamrot vs Jalin Turner is a scheduled Lightweight fight on UFC 285 : JONES VS GANE. Mateusz Gamrot enters with a 26-5-0 record and Jalin Turner enters with a 16-9-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.