Combat Edge Intelligence

Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Katlyn Cerminara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record18-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
66"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
The Sound Martial ArtsTeamTeam Renzo Gracie

What's at stake

Katlyn Cerminara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jamey-Lyn Horth carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jamey-Lyn HorthNow 1645
If they win+19→ 1664
If they lose-13→ 1632
Katlyn CerminaraNow 1713
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.80
Sig. strikes / min
4.58
48%
Strike accuracy
35%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.48
64%
Strike defense
62%
0.98
Takedown avg.
0.31
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
81%
Takedown defense
50%
0.16
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jamey-Lyn HorthKatlyn Cerminara
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (33%)
Decision
15 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jamey-Lyn Horth and Katlyn Cerminara within a point of even.

Katlyn Cerminara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1645, a 68-point edge.

Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jamey-Lyn Horth finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Katlyn Cerminara 17%.

Katlyn Cerminara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.